Optimism Bias: What Keeps Us Alive Today Will Kill Us Tomorrow "This graph tells the story (one of an endless number) of what, over the past four years, the EU predicted would be Greek GDP numbers, through five consecutive rounds of predictions, and what eventually actual numbers turned out to be. Pretty graphic(al). Being off by 6-7-8% was no exception, it was the rule. And this whole procedure is no exception either, it's all the rule. Which all politicians, pundits and forecasters get away with breeding because the stories they tell are the stories you want to hear.
18 Νοε 2012
μας κρατά ζωντανούς
Optimism Bias: What Keeps Us Alive Today Will Kill Us Tomorrow "This graph tells the story (one of an endless number) of what, over the past four years, the EU predicted would be Greek GDP numbers, through five consecutive rounds of predictions, and what eventually actual numbers turned out to be. Pretty graphic(al). Being off by 6-7-8% was no exception, it was the rule. And this whole procedure is no exception either, it's all the rule. Which all politicians, pundits and forecasters get away with breeding because the stories they tell are the stories you want to hear.
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Michel Aglietta και André Orléan, La Monnaie entre Violence et Confiance
[Το νόμισμα μεταξύ βίας και εμπιστοσύνης],εκδ. Odile Jacob, 2002.
πρόταση μαζί με την καλησπέρα μου...
μακάρι να βγει και στα ελληνικά. Να σημειώσω ότι οι εκδόσεις ΠΟΛΙΣ έχουν κυκλοφορήσει ένα βιβλίο του Αλιετά, το «Η οικονομική κρίση», το 2009
αυτό αν δεν ξέρεις γαλλικά!
:)
@ ευχαριστω πολυ katabran :)
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